By Pishtaz | 2026-04-24

The Islamic Republic is confronting overlapping internal crises, as political infighting, economic breakdown and deteriorating force morale expose deep structural vulnerabilities.

At the political level, a hidden shift in power is accelerating, with authority consolidating inside a military-intelligence network linked to Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

This transition sidelines traditional clerical authority and reflects a system increasingly driven by unelected commanders shaping national direction behind the scenes.

Allegations of IRGC interference in cabinet formation and resistance to President Masoud Pezeshkian's decisions point to a deliberate erosion of civilian governance authority.

This pattern signals an entrenched power struggle, where elected leadership is systematically undermined by actors controlling security, intelligence and strategic decision-making channels.

Simultaneously, a logistical crisis is emerging among rank-and-file IRGC and Basij forces, exposing serious weaknesses in basic operational support systems.

Reports describe shortages of food, hygiene supplies and shelter, conditions that directly undermine morale and readiness across ground units.

Iran's broader economic instability, marked by inflation, currency decline and sanctions pressure, is limiting the regime's ability to sustain its internal security apparatus.

Tensions have escalated into open confrontation, with Pezeshkian warning that unilateral IRGC actions risk sabotaging ceasefire opportunities and escalating regional instability.

According to sources, the Iranian president warned such actions could push the country toward a "huge catastrophe," highlighting deep internal divisions over foreign policy direction.

Pezeshkian has also warned that Iran cannot sustain prolonged conflict, suggesting the economy could collapse rapidly if escalation continues unchecked.

These converging crises reveal a system under acute internal pressure, where power fragmentation, economic decay and declining cohesion threaten overall stability.