Security

Iran’s foreign ambitions deepen hardship at home

Iran’s growing alliance with Hizbullah and sympathetic governments in Latin America is expanding its regional influence, even as soaring inflation, poverty and failing public services deepen hardship at home.

Former Iranian Interior Minister and current Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commander Ahmad Vahidi attends a memorial ceremony at the Imam Khomeini Grand Mosque in downtown Tehran on July 2, 2025. [Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via AFP]
Former Iranian Interior Minister and current Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) commander Ahmad Vahidi attends a memorial ceremony at the Imam Khomeini Grand Mosque in downtown Tehran on July 2, 2025. [Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via AFP]

By Pishtaz |

The Islamic Republic regime is steadily expanding its political and military footprint across Latin America, using anti-Western sentiment and friendly left-wing governments as cover.

Hizbullah serves as the regime's operational arm throughout the region, while Venezuela functions as its primary hub and sanctuary.

Analysts warn that without a coordinated US-Israel counter-strategy, this entrenched foothold will only continue to deepen in the years ahead.

The human cost back home

Iran's regional ambitions carry a steep financial price that ordinary Iranians bear directly through worsening economic conditions.

Critics argue the regime consistently prioritizes regional proxies over basic services like water, electricity and public health.

The State Department estimates the Islamic Republic has spent more than $16 billion supporting Assad-era Syria and other proxies since 2012.

Hizbullah alone receives roughly $700 million annually from the Islamic Republic, funding salaries, weapons and expanding operations across Latin America and beyond.

That same money, redirected domestically, could meaningfully ease the burden facing millions of struggling Iranian households today.

The IMF projects Iran's economy will contract by 6.1 percent in 2026, with inflation reaching nearly 69 percent.

Food inflation neared 90 percent before ongoing war even began, deepening hardship for lower-income families nationwide.

Estimates of Iranians living below the poverty line range from 22 to 50 percent, depending on the source consulted.

Every dollar spent cultivating influence in Latin America is a dollar withheld from Iranian schools, hospitals and infrastructure.

Beyond Venezuela

The Islamic Republic's regional operations intensified alongside the "Pink Tide," the wave of left-leaning governments that swept Latin America starting in the early 2000s.

The regime treats these anti-Western regimes as natural partners regardless of their specific ideology, whether secular, Marxist or populist.

Shared opposition to US and Western influence, analysts say, matters more to Iran than any particular governing philosophy.

Peru and Brazil have both uncovered terror plots tied to the Islamic Republic and Hizbullah in recent years.

Brazilian police arrested two Hizbullah-linked suspects in November 2023 after allegedly plotting attacks on Jewish communities.

Hizbullah remains deeply embedded in regional drug trafficking and money laundering networks under Iranian guidance and direction.

The group also recruits local sympathizers for potential attacks, according to researchers tracking its Latin American cells closely.

Peru's Congressional Intelligence Commission separately flagged an Iranian-linked religious campaign as a potential vector for radicalization efforts.

Argentina has also pursued the extradition of Ahmad Vahidi, an accused AMIA mastermind who now commands the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

Interpol issued a red notice for Vahidi, though the Islamic Republic has consistently refused to hand over any accused officials.

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